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Common graphics card costs have halved because the begin of 2022

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A collection of graphics cards on a colourful background.

(Picture credit score: Future)

The typical value of a graphics card has successfully halved because the begin of the 12 months. That is the findings from a 3DCenter (opens in new tab) piece digging into historic information cribbed from Jon Peddie Analysis (opens in new tab) (paywall), and it highlights the large change in GPU gross sales over the cryptomining/pandemic years, but in addition why Nvidia has discovered itself in such a critical predicament immediately.

It is a very thorough evaluation of the uncooked numbers and, regardless of being native German, the Google translation nonetheless makes it very a lot value studying. Although I simply needed to drag out a few attention-grabbing factors that it raises.

We do although should caveat this with somewhat clarification round what these numbers really characterize; they are not the ultimate gross sales of playing cards to finish customers at retail, they’re the gross sales of graphics playing cards from producers into the retail channel itself. They’re additionally not going to be 100% correct, however nonetheless shut sufficient for us to have the ability to draw some conclusions.

The actual kicker from that is the common promoting value (ASP) of playing cards going into these retailers. These numbers aren’t the vastly over-inflated greenback figures we had been used to seeing price-gouging resellers bask in on ebay, they are not even taken under consideration right here. 

That is greater than a 300% improve on the common value in simply two years.

And but, from a low of simply round $267 within the harmless instances of across the center of 2019, the ASP of a GPU rose to a excessive of round $1,077 in the midst of 2021.

That is greater than a 300% improve on the common value in simply two years. 

Average selling price of GPUs using JPR/3DCenter data

(Picture credit score: Future)

The explanations for the rise in graphics card costs, and the rise within the general quantity too, have been coated in depth during the last couple of years. However, briefly, it was the proper storm of elevated demand for tech because of the pandemic lockdowns, associated disruption within the provide chain (opens in new tab), and an exponential improve within the profitability of crypto GPU mining through ethereum.

That meant miners would fortunately hoover up any spare graphics playing cards they may, and do it in bulk. However, extra importantly, the profitability of ethereum mining on the time meant they’d additionally pay any value.

That drove costs to the common gamer by the roof too, and made it both very tough to purchase a card due to restricted volumes or due to an unreasonable price.

You possibly can see from the numbers alone that the tipping level has occurred, the place provide is beginning to outstrip demand, and that the bubble has burst as ethereum edges ever nearer to the approaching merge (opens in new tab). That is the purpose the place it is going to finish the usage of graphics card processing to energy the blockchain ledger, and that can doubtless happen within the subsequent few days, a minimum of that is what Google thinks (opens in new tab).

Racks of graphics cards being used for cryptocurrency mining

(Picture credit score: NiseriN, Getty Photographs)

It’s value noting once more the dip in gross sales numbers pertains to gross sales of GPUs into the channels; that is happening as a result of the retailers are beginning to realise they need not preserve shopping for graphics playing cards from producers, as a result of they have a bunch nonetheless sat within the warehouse and, with imminent next-gen releases, not all are going to promote.

And so they’re positively not going to promote for the costs retailers had been beforehand capable of cost just a bit whereas earlier.

On the finish of 2021 we had been taking a look at round $1,000 as a median promoting value, whereas the numbers on the finish of the second quarter—primarily the top of June 2022—had been virtually half that at $529. 

Sadly, I do not like our possibilities of ever going again to an age the place the common promoting value of a graphics card is lower than $300. If the previous couple of years have taught us something, it is that players will put up with ridiculous costs for the brand new shiny GPU factor. And you may guess producers have famous that.

Volume sales of GPUs using JPR/3DCenter data

(Picture credit score: Future)

The opposite numbers value noting is the distinction between AMD and Nvidia on the subject of the amount of graphics playing cards the 2 large GPU makers bought into retailers over the previous few years. On the AMD aspect you’ll be able to see both the problem the corporate had in producing a better variety of playing cards, or that it selected to maintain the numbers down intentionally. It is numbers are remarkably constant.

The purple workforce solely actually appeared to kick its manufacturing into gear across the finish of 2021 the place volumes begin to creep in direction of 3 million playing cards bought. Anecdotally that is the way it appeared to us, too. The place it was all however inconceivable to choose up a Radeon GPU till late in 2021, when it virtually began to dominate retail.

You possibly can’t blame Nvidia for cashing in on promoting spades to the gold miners.

That wasn’t actually all the way down to GPU mining both, as AMD playing cards had been usually not seen as efficient, both from a uncooked efficiency or effectivity viewpoint.

Nvidia, nevertheless, went full bore into over-production, with gross sales topping 9 million on the finish of 2020 because it kicked off its RTX 30-series vary. From there it continued to develop as a result of, with GPU mining nonetheless holding sway for a lot of the previous few years, it might depend on these playing cards being bought. Now the underside has dropped out of ethereum mining the lag in manufacturing and provide means there are lots of playing cards floating round within the channel, and retailers are now not shopping for in the identical quantity.

It was inevitable that the cryptocurrency crash, and the anticipated shift from the GPU-based operation of ethereum to a much more environment friendly one, would end in numerous playing cards each in retail and within the second-hand market. However you actually cannot blame Nvidia for cashing in (opens in new tab) on promoting spades to the gold miners, so to talk.

Although now it is having to do a bit of injury limitation, and the urged delays in launching its new playing cards—or simply giving us a single high-performance GPU to drool over within the RTX 4090 (opens in new tab)—are the worth we’re possibly paying ourselves.

Nonetheless, there are nonetheless new playing cards on the horizon. Nvidia’s much-leaked RTX 4090 (opens in new tab) is anticipated to be proven off by Jen-Hsun on stage at GTC subsequent week, and AMD can have its personal Navi 31 playing cards (opens in new tab) on present doubtlessly in November this 12 months.

Dave has been gaming because the days of Zaxxon and Woman Bug on the Colecovision, and code books for the Commodore Vic 20 (Dying Race 2000!). He constructed his first gaming PC on the tender age of 16, and at last completed bug-fixing the Cyrix-based system round a 12 months later. When he dropped it out of the window. He first began writing for Official PlayStation Journal and Xbox World many a long time in the past, then moved onto PC Format full-time, then PC Gamer, TechRadar, and T3 amongst others. Now he is again, writing in regards to the nightmarish graphics card market, CPUs with extra cores than sense, gaming laptops hotter than the solar, and SSDs extra capacious than a Cybertruck.

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