TNC Predator Has the Highest Chance of Securing a Direct Invite to TI10 Amongst SEA Teams
TNC Predator has the best shot at securing a TI10 direct invite among all the SEA teams according to a recent analysis by Dota 2 statistician, Ben “Noxville” Steenhuisen. He highlighted this prospect through a tweet where according to his calculation, TNC Predator has a 58.07% chance of finishing in the top 12 of the 2021 DPC rankings, the highest among SEA teams. This is quite surprising since TNC Predator did not qualify for the Singapore Major. However, the Filipino team’s performance in the ongoing SEA DPC league and the subsequent potential to earn more DPC points has perhaps augmented their TI qualification chances.
TNC Predator has the highest chance of becoming the first SEA team to guarantee a TI10 slot
After having an underwhelming season 1, TNC Predator changed their roster by replacing Kpii and Febby with Bok and Boomy giving rise to an all-Filipino roster. As evidenced by the team’s phenomenal form in the second season, these roster changes have clearly paid off as the team currently sits in first place with four wins and one loss.
The Filipino team now has the highest chance of securing a direct invite to TI10 amongst SEA teams according to an analysis by Noxville. His calculations suggest that TNC Predator has a 58.07% chance of securing a direct invite to TI10. Fnatic and OB.Neon are trailing them with 43.78% and 38.27% chances respectively.
Considering that both OB.Neon and Fnatic surpass TNC in the 2021 DPC rankings by a significant margin (TNC has 72.25 points, Fnatic has 425 and OB.Neon has 600) it is interesting to see the Filipino team having the edge here. This is likely due to the following factors:
- TNC Predator is on track to finish on top of the SEA 2021 DPC Season 2: Upper Division with matches against Lilgun and Fnatic to be played. This will grant them a total of 500 DPC points that skyrockets their position in the DPC rankings.
- Since the Filipino team is expected to finish first, they will get a direct entry into the next Major’s playoffs. This bolsters the team’s chances of finishing in the top eight at the Major and earning even more DPC points.
- Noxville has taken into account the team power rankings (Glicko) available on his website, datdota, in which TNC is rated above both Fnatic and OB.Neon.
SEA teams’ position in the 2021 DPC rankings as of May 14, 2021
|2021 DPC Ranking Position
||Team Name||DPC points|
Keep in mind that these calculations are expected to change as the regional league moves towards a conclusion. The most significant matches that may lead to a change in TNC, Fnatic and OB.Neon’s chances are the T1 vs OB.Neon and TNC Predator vs Fnatic matches that take place in the final week of the DPC 2021 SEA S2: Upper Division.